Expert: Too soon to say Ukraine has seized the initiative in the war
Despite Ukraine striking targets ever deeper inside Russia, it cannot yet be said that Kyiv has seized the initiative in the war, as it still largely remains with the more offensively minded Russian military along the front line, security expert Rainer Saks said.
Security analyst Rainer Saks has cautioned against claims that Ukraine has gained a decisive strategic advantage in the ongoing conflict. While Ukrainian forces have successfully conducted long-range strikes against targets within Russian territory, these actions do not necessarily indicate a shift in the broader operational momentum. According to Saks, the Russian military continues to dictate the pace of the war through its persistent offensive maneuvers along the active front lines. Consequently, the tactical landscape remains heavily influenced by Moscow's current battlefield posture. It is premature to conclude that Kyiv has effectively wrestled the initiative away from invading forces at this stage of the hostilities.
This assessment provides a critical reality check on the current state of the conflict by distinguishing between isolated long-range strikes and the overall strategic control of the front lines.
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