ЕБРР прогнозирует рост экономики Таджикистана на 7,9% в 2026 году

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ЕБРР прогнозирует рост экономики Таджикистана на 7,9% в 2026 году

Европейский банк реконструкции и развития прогнозирует, что экономика Таджикистана в 2026 году вырастет на 7,9%. Но уже в 2027 году рост, по оценке банка, замедлится до 7%. Такие данные приведены в новом докладе ЕБРР «Региональные экономические перспективы», опубликованном в июне 2026 года. По оценке банка, в 2024 году ВВП Таджикистана вырос на 8,4%. Такой же рост — 8,4% — ЕБРР оценивает и за 2025 год. В первом квартале 2026 года экономика страны, по данным доклада, выросла п

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) forecasts Tajikistan's economy will expand by 7.9% in 2026, a slight deceleration from the projected 8.4% growth for both 2024 and 2025. Early 2026 saw an approximate 8% year-on-year increase, driven by robust activity in trade, transport, communications, manufacturing, and energy production. Investment in fixed assets also surged significantly, partly due to public spending on projects like the Rogun Dam.

Despite a contraction in the mining sector, Tajikistan's economy has benefited from strong domestic demand fueling import growth and maintained low inflation. The National Bank of Tajikistan has responded by lowering its key interest rate. The country's sovereign credit rating was also recently upgraded by Moody's, reflecting its economic resilience and improved fiscal management.

These projections are significant as they highlight Tajikistan's strong economic performance and resilience amidst regional slowdowns, though potential risks from external dependencies remain.

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