Two polls have Labor trailing on primary votes, five months out from the Victorian election
With the Victorian state election in late November, two polls have Labor sinking to third on primary votes, behind One Nation and the Coalition. Labor Premier Jacinta Allan’s net approval is below -35 in both polls. A federal Resolve poll agrees with other polls in having One Nation leading on primary votes. A three-way preferred PM question has Pauline Hanson leading. Preference flows from the May 9 Farrer byelection have been released. A large portion of Liberal and Nationa
Two recent polls show Labor trailing behind One Nation and the Coalition in primary votes ahead of the Victorian state election in November. The Freshwater poll indicates the Coalition at 27%, One Nation at 25%, and Labor at 23%. The Victorian DemosAU and Premier National poll reports the Coalition at 30%, One Nation at 23%, and Labor at 21%. Labor Premier Jacinta Allan's net approval is significantly low, with 62% of voters wanting her replaced. Preference flows from the Farrer byelection show some Liberal and National voters did not follow how-to-vote cards. The Coalition leads Labor in preferred premier ratings, with Liberal leader Jess Wilson performing better than Allan. Labor has been in power for 12 consecutive years, which may contribute to voter fatigue. Analysts suggest the polls may worsen for Labor as the election approaches, especially with Allan's poor ratings. Federal Labor's recent loss in the May 2025 election has also impacted state Labor's standing.
The results highlight potential challenges for Labor in the upcoming Victorian election, influenced by leadership ratings and voter sentiment.
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