Taking power in Mali might be a stretch but insurgents can force hand of weakened regime

Insurgent groups, including the al-Qaida-affiliated JNIM and Tuareg factions, have launched coordinated assaults against Malian military positions and towns. These attacks have resulted in substantial losses for government forces and their Russian mercenary allies. While the insurgents have demonstrated tactical prowess, seizing territory and disrupting essential supplies to cities, their ability to overthrow the current regime remains uncertain. The group's successes have drawn comparisons to the Syrian conflict, though a complete takeover of Mali appears unlikely at this time.

The ongoing conflict highlights the instability in Mali and the challenges faced by its government in maintaining control amidst a growing insurgency.