Special poll has Labor barely winning majority as One Nation continues to gain

🤖 Yapay Zeka 📰 The Conversation AU 🕐 27.05.2026
Special poll has Labor barely winning majority as One Nation continues to gain

A special Redbridge poll that was mostly taken before the federal budget had Labor winning 76 of the 150 House of Representatives seats (a majority of one), with One Nation on 53 and the Coalition 12. Three more regular polls that were all taken since the budget have One Nation continuing to gain, with DemosAU having One Nation first on primary votes. The Essential and DemosAU polls both have the total vote for the Coalition and One Nation at 51%, while Morgan has the total r

A recent special poll indicates the Labor party is on track to secure a slim majority in the House of Representatives, winning 76 out of 150 seats. However, subsequent polls conducted after the federal budget suggest a shift in voter sentiment, with One Nation showing significant gains and potentially surpassing Labor in primary vote support. These later polls also indicate a combined strength for One Nation and the Coalition that could challenge Labor's majority.

These poll results suggest a potential shift in the political landscape, indicating that upcoming elections could be highly competitive and that voter priorities may be evolving in response to recent government policies.

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